Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.018555 0.019910 0.021316 0.022885 0.024588 0.026383 0.028418
2026-02-01 0.016156 0.018091 0.020199 0.022671 0.025496 0.028634 0.032391
2026-02-08 0.014455 0.016698 0.019228 0.022307 0.025966 0.030194 0.035473
2026-02-15 0.013285 0.015734 0.018578 0.022144 0.026520 0.031745 0.038504
2026-02-22 0.012311 0.014891 0.017962 0.021911 0.026891 0.033010 0.041171
2026-03-01 0.011533 0.014210 0.017466 0.021749 0.027285 0.034265 0.043834
2026-03-08 0.010862 0.013608 0.017012 0.021583 0.027624 0.035421 0.046387
2026-03-15 0.010370 0.013193 0.016756 0.021635 0.028219 0.036908 0.049430
2026-03-22 0.009876 0.012742 0.016420 0.021545 0.028596 0.038096 0.052102
2026-03-29 0.009451 0.012356 0.016141 0.021503 0.029017 0.039341 0.054895
2026-04-05 0.009042 0.011966 0.015831 0.021393 0.029322 0.040419 0.057488
2026-04-12 0.008710 0.011662 0.015619 0.021399 0.029777 0.041716 0.060454
2026-04-19 0.008413 0.011406 0.015477 0.021517 0.030431 0.043381 0.064155
2026-04-26 0.008028 0.011010 0.015120 0.021311 0.030599 0.044341 0.066842
2026-05-03 0.007632 0.010578 0.014690 0.020971 0.030541 0.044945 0.068992
2026-05-10 0.007322 0.010255 0.014400 0.020819 0.030752 0.045958 0.071844
2026-05-17 0.007016 0.009923 0.014080 0.020601 0.030841 0.046774 0.074406
2026-05-24 0.006750 0.009638 0.013815 0.020451 0.031022 0.047732 0.077252
2026-05-31 0.006500 0.009367 0.013558 0.020296 0.031180 0.048654 0.080080
2026-06-07 0.006319 0.009191 0.013435 0.020345 0.031664 0.050126 0.083945
2026-06-14 0.006116 0.008972 0.013237 0.020261 0.031921 0.051225 0.087211
2026-06-21 0.005935 0.008780 0.013072 0.020222 0.032246 0.052448 0.090767
2026-06-28 0.005749 0.008574 0.012876 0.020119 0.032455 0.053476 0.094021